LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.73 – our chance 67% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓67% · @1.73
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.82
LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador preview and prediction
The match
The Concacaf Central American Cup sees LD Alajuelense take on Plaza Amador on Thursday 27 August, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Form guide
LD Alajuelense's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to San Carlos 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Plaza Amador's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat UMECIT 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Plaza Amador arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for LD Alajuelense and 1.0 for Plaza Amador. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LD Alajuelense 67%, draw 21%, Plaza Amador 13%.
Safer route: LD Alajuelense or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 1.73 – 67% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: LD Alajuelense 2–0 Plaza Amador. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LD Alajuelense67%fair 1.50 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.65
Plaza Amador13%fair 7.81 · @4.10
3.27Expected goals
2.31LD Alajuelense xG
0.96Plaza Amador xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 2.3 – 1.0 Plaza Amador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win✓
67%
1.50
1.73 ▲
Double chance
LD Alajuelense or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.40
Half-time result
LD Alajuelense ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
LD Alajuelense – last 6
LLWWWW
24 Aug
vs San Carlos
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ Firpo
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Puntarenas FC
2–1
W
10 Aug
@ CS Herediano
3–0
W
5 Aug
@ Diriangén
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Escorpiones Belén
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Plaza Amador – last 6
WWWWWW
24 Aug
vs UMECIT
3–0
W
17 Aug
@ Alianza FC
4–2
W
12 Aug
vs Xelajú
5–2
W
9 Aug
vs Tauro FC
3–2
W
5 Aug
vs Firpo
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Sporting San Miguelito
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LD Alajuelense and Plaza Amador.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plaza Amador 13%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 2–0 Plaza Amador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Marathon3
Real Estelí0
Xelajú1
Firpo1