Value bet: Saipa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFard Alborz to win ✓36% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Fard Alborz vs Saipa preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Fard Alborz take on Saipa on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT). Fard Alborz are 3rd with 17 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Saipa sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fard Alborz's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Niroye Zamini 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saipa's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Fard Alborz and 0.8 for Saipa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Saipa to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Fard Alborz 0–0 Saipa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fard Alborz36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.55
Saipa35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
1.55Expected goals
0.78Fard Alborz xG
0.77Saipa xG
39%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–06%
0–26%
From our goals model: Fard Alborz 0.8 – 0.8 Saipa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✓
36%
2.76
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.04
–
Form
Fard Alborz – last 6
WLWLLW
21 Jun
@ Niroye Zamini
2–0
W
15 Jun
vs Sanat Naft
1–2
L
9 Jun
@ Navad Urmia
6–0
W
2 Jun
vs Mes Kerman
0–2
L
27 May
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
0–1
L
21 May
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Saipa – last 6
WDDWWL
21 Jun
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
15 Jun
@ Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–0
D
9 Jun
vs Havadar
0–0
D
2 Jun
@ Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2–1
W
27 May
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–0
W
21 May
@ Naft Gachsaran
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fard Alborz and Saipa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Saipa?
On our numbers Fard Alborz have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Saipa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fard Alborz vs Saipa?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fard Alborz vs Saipa?
Our predicted score is Fard Alborz 0–0 Saipa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Fard Alborz vs Saipa?
Fard Alborz vs Saipa (Azadegan League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shahrdari Noshahr1
Mes Shahr-e Babak1