Value bet: Mes Shahr-e Babak to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMes Shahr-e Babak to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceMes Shahr-e Babak or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.41
Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini preview and prediction
The match
Niroye Zamini travel to face Mes Shahr-e Babak in the Azadegan League on Saturday 27 June (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Mes Shahr-e Babak's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Nassaji Mazandaran 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Niroye Zamini's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Fard Alborz 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Mes Shahr-e Babak and 0.4 for Niroye Zamini. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mes Shahr-e Babak to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Mes Shahr-e Babak 1–0 Niroye Zamini. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mes Shahr-e Babak64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.88
Niroye Zamini11%fair 8.74 · @5.25
1.84Expected goals
1.43Mes Shahr-e Babak xG
0.41Niroye Zamini xG
35%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–016%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mes Shahr-e Babak 1.4 – 0.4 Niroye Zamini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Shahr-e Babak to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Mes Shahr-e Babak or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mes Shahr-e Babak / FT Mes Shahr-e Babak✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.41
–
Form
Mes Shahr-e Babak – last 6
LDWWLD
21 Jun
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
0–1
L
15 Jun
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
0–0
D
10 Jun
@ Damash Gilanian
7–0
W
2 Jun
vs Sanat Naft
2–0
W
27 May
@ Saipa
0–1
L
21 May
vs Shahrdari Noshahr
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Niroye Zamini – last 6
LWDLDD
21 Jun
vs Fard Alborz
0–2
L
15 Jun
@ Naft Gachsaran
3–0
W
9 Jun
vs Ario Eslamshahr
0–0
D
2 Jun
@ Mes Soongoun
0–1
L
27 May
vs Havadar
0–0
D
21 May
@ Shenavarsazi Qeshm
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Shahr-e Babak and Niroye Zamini.
What is the prediction for Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini?
On our numbers Mes Shahr-e Babak have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Niroye Zamini 11%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini?
Our predicted score is Mes Shahr-e Babak 1–0 Niroye Zamini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini?
Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini (Azadegan League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shahrdari Noshahr1