Value bet: Mes Kerman to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMes Kerman to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Shahrdari Noshahr take on Mes Kerman on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 15:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Shahrdari Noshahr's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Sanat Naft 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Mes Kerman's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Pars Jonoubi JAM 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mes Kerman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Shahrdari Noshahr and 0.8 for Mes Kerman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shahrdari Noshahr 35%, draw 27%, Mes Kerman 38%.
Value angle: Mes Kerman to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Shahrdari Noshahr 0–0 Mes Kerman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shahrdari Noshahr35%fair 2.86 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Mes Kerman38%fair 2.63 · @3.25
1.57Expected goals
0.76Shahrdari Noshahr xG
0.81Mes Kerman xG
35%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Shahrdari Noshahr 0.8 – 0.8 Mes Kerman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Kerman to win✗
38%
2.63
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
Shahrdari Noshahr – last 6
DDLDLD
21 Jun
@ Sanat Naft
1–1
D
16 Jun
vs Navad Urmia
0–0
D
10 Jun
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
0–1
L
2 Jun
@ Ario Eslamshahr
1–1
D
27 May
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–2
L
21 May
@ Mes Shahr-e Babak
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mes Kerman – last 6
DDDWLD
21 Jun
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
1–1
D
15 Jun
@ Havadar
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Naft Gachsaran
0–0
D
2 Jun
@ Fard Alborz
2–0
W
27 May
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
1–2
L
21 May
@ Ario Eslamshahr
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shahrdari Noshahr and Mes Kerman.
What is the prediction for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman?
On our numbers Shahrdari Noshahr have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mes Kerman 38%.
How many goals will there be in Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman?
Our predicted score is Shahrdari Noshahr 0–0 Mes Kerman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman?
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mes Shahr-e Babak1