Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓51% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical preview and prediction
The match
Peterhead host Hamilton Academical in the League Cup on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Balmoor.
Form guide
Peterhead's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Forfar Athletic 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Hamilton Academical's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Haverfordwest County AFC 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Peterhead arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Peterhead and 1.7 for Hamilton Academical. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Peterhead 29%, draw 21%, Hamilton Academical 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Hamilton Academical to win at 2.40 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Peterhead 1–1 Hamilton Academical. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peterhead29%fair 3.48 · @2.68
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Hamilton Academical51%fair 1.97 · @2.40
2.89Expected goals
1.20Peterhead xG
1.70Hamilton Academical xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Peterhead 1.2 – 1.7 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamilton Academical to win✓
51%
1.97
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Peterhead – last 6
WWWWLL
7 Jul
@ Forfar Athletic
3–0
W
4 Jul
vs Celtic II
3–1
W
2 Jul
@ Dundee II
3–1
W
27 Jun
@ Banks O' Dee
3–0
W
14 Apr
vs Inverness CT
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Inverness CT
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hamilton Academical – last 6
WDDWLL
4 Jul
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Raith Rovers
2–2
D
12 May
@ Clyde
1–1
D
5 May
@ Forfar Athletic
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Alloa Athletic
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peterhead and Hamilton Academical.
What is the prediction for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
On our numbers Peterhead have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hamilton Academical 51%.
How many goals will there be in Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
Our predicted score is Peterhead 1–1 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Balmoor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.