Wednesday, 11 November 2026 13 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
League Cup · Scotland · K-Park Training Academy
3–0
FT

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Dunfermline or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Dunfermline to win @ 1.76 – our chance 60% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDunfermline to win ✗60% · @1.76
Double chanceDunfermline or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline preview and prediction

The match

East Kilbride host Dunfermline in the League Cup on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at K-Park Training Academy.

Form guide

East Kilbride's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Kelty Hearts 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 4.3 goals a game.

Dunfermline's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Kelty Hearts 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

East Kilbride arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for East Kilbride and 2.1 for Dunfermline. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Dunfermline or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: East Kilbride 1–2 Dunfermline. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

East Kilbride19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.95
Dunfermline60%fair 1.65 · @1.76
3.25Expected goals
1.12East Kilbride xG
2.12Dunfermline xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 1.1 – 2.1 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDunfermline to win ✗60%1.651.76 ▲
Double chanceDunfermline or draw ✗81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Half-time resultDunfermline ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.15–

Form

East Kilbride – last 3

WWW
27 Junvs Kelty Hearts4–0W
21 Febvs Dumbarton3–1W
17 Feb@ Elgin City6–1W
4.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Dunfermline – last 6

WWLLDD
4 Jul@ Kelty Hearts3–0W
27 Jun@ Clyde2–1W
25 Jun@ FC Botosani0–1L
23 May@ Celtic1–3L
12 Mayvs Partick1–1D
8 May@ Arbroath0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Dunfermline.

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

Our pick is Dunfermline or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dunfermline 60%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 1–2 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.