Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 7 Jun 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗40% · @2.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.26

Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Oita Trinita take on Montedio Yamagata on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Resonac Dome Oita. Oita Trinita are 11th with 22 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Montedio Yamagata sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Oita Trinita's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Nara Club 3–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Montedio Yamagata's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Oita Trinita and 1.3 for Montedio Yamagata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Oita Trinita 36%, draw 24%, Montedio Yamagata 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Montedio Yamagata to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Oita Trinita 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Oita Trinita36%fair 2.80 · @2.40

Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10

Montedio Yamagata40%fair 2.51 · @2.80

2.47Expected goals

1.19Oita Trinita xG

1.28Montedio Yamagata xG

56%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

0–08%

1–28%

2–18%

From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.2 – 1.3 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montedio Yamagata to win ✗	40%	2.51	2.80 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.22
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗	22%	4.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	11%	9.26	–

Form

Oita Trinita – last 6

DLLWLL

30 May	@ Nara Club	3–3	D
17 May	vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1–2	L
10 May	vs Sagan Tosu	0–1	L
6 May	@ Kagoshima United	1–0	W
3 May	@ Kitakyushu	1–2	L
29 Apr	vs Roasso Kumamoto	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

DWLLLL

31 May	vs Matsumoto Yamaga	1–1	D
24 May	vs Shonan Bellmare	3–1	W
16 May	@ Tochigi City	0–3	L
10 May	vs Sagamihara	2–3	L
6 May	vs Thespakusatsu Gunma	1–2	L
29 Apr	@ Blaublitz Akita	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montedio Yamagata 40%.

How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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