Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTochigi SC to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.58
Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Tochigi SC take on Kitakyushu on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Form guide
Tochigi SC's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Vanraure Hachinohe 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kitakyushu's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Kamatamare Sanuki 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Tochigi SC and 0.9 for Kitakyushu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Tochigi SC to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1–1 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi SC59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.25
Kitakyushu20%fair 5.12 · @4.10
2.75Expected goals
1.83Tochigi SC xG
0.93Kitakyushu xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.8 – 0.9 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✗
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Tochigi SC or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Tochigi SC ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.58
–
Form
Tochigi SC – last 6
DLLLLW
24 May
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
0–0
D
17 May
@ Yokohama FC
0–1
L
6 May
@ Vegalta Sendai
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Tochigi City
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Sagamihara
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kitakyushu – last 6
LLLLWL
31 May
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
1–3
L
24 May
vs Kagoshima United
1–5
L
17 May
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
6 May
vs Roasso Kumamoto
1–2
L
3 May
vs Oita Trinita
2–1
W
29 Apr
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kitakyushu 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vanraure Hachinohe1
Imabari1
Tokushima Vortis2
Iwaki0
Blaublitz Akita0
Kagoshima United2
Kanazawa4
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Fukushima United1
FC Ryukyu1
Oita Trinita1
Montedio Yamagata0