Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki preview and prediction
The match
Tokushima Vortis host Iwaki in the J2 League on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 05:05 (WAT) at Pocarisweat Stadium. Tokushima Vortis are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Iwaki sit 8th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tokushima Vortis's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sagan Tosu 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Iwaki's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Shonan Bellmare 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Tokushima Vortis and 1.4 for Iwaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Iwaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokushima Vortis38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Iwaki38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
2.73Expected goals
1.37Tokushima Vortis xG
1.37Iwaki xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 1.4 – 1.4 Iwaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokushima Vortis to win✓
38%
2.64
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iwaki / FT Iwaki✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Tokushima Vortis – last 6
WLLLLW
30 May
vs Sagan Tosu
3–1
W
10 May
vs Nara Club
1–2
L
6 May
@ Albirex Niigata
0–1
L
2 May
vs Ehime FC
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Kochi United
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Kanazawa
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Iwaki – last 6
DLLLLW
30 May
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–1
D
9 May
vs Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
6 May
@ Omiya Ardija
2–3
L
29 Apr
vs FC Gifu
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Consadole Sapporo
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Parceiro Nagano
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokushima Vortis and Iwaki.
What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki?
On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iwaki 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki?
Our predicted score is Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Iwaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki?
Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 05:05 (West Africa Time) at Pocarisweat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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