Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Palmeiras take on Fortaleza EC on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Nubank Parque.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Vitoria 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Botafogo SP 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Palmeiras and 0.8 for Fortaleza EC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 53% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Palmeiras 2–0 Fortaleza EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras67%fair 1.49 · @1.22
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @5.50
Fortaleza EC11%fair 8.99 · @14.50
2.85Expected goals
2.09Palmeiras xG
0.76Fortaleza EC xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.1 – 0.8 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
67%
1.49
1.22
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 6
WLWWWL
30 Jul
@ Vitoria
4–0
W
26 Jul
vs Atletico-MG
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Coritiba
3–1
W
28 May
vs Junior
4–1
W
24 May
@ Flamengo
3–0
W
21 May
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WLWLWW
29 Jul
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
22 Jul
@ Vila Nova
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
3 Jul
vs Ponte Preta
2–0
W
28 Jun
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortaleza EC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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