Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗59% · @1.87
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro travel to face Chapecoense-sc in the Copa Do Brasil on Sunday 2 August (22:30 WAT).
Form guide
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Santos 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cruzeiro's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Coritiba 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cruzeiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.6 for Cruzeiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Cruzeiro to win at 1.87 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruzeiro or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chapecoense-sc16%fair 6.22 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Cruzeiro59%fair 1.69 · @1.87
2.21Expected goals
0.66Chapecoense-sc xG
1.55Cruzeiro xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 0.7 – 1.6 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Cruzeiro or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cruzeiro 59%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.