Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAccrington ST to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceAccrington ST or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.40
Accrington ST vs Bury preview and prediction
The match
Accrington ST host Bury in the Friendlies Clubs on Tuesday 28 July, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Accrington ST's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Chorley 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Accrington ST and 0.4 for Bury. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Accrington ST 62%, draw 22%, Bury 16%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Accrington ST to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Accrington ST 1–0 Bury. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Accrington ST62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.50
Bury16%fair 6.27 · @4.75
1.75Expected goals
1.31Accrington ST xG
0.44Bury xG
48%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 0.4 Bury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Accrington ST to win✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Accrington ST or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.40
–
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
WWDLLW
25 Jul
@ Chorley
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Bradford
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Colchester
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Crewe
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bury – last 2
WD
11 Jul
@ Chorley
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Clitheroe
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Bury.
Our pick is Accrington ST to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Bury?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bury 16%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Bury?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Bury?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–0 Bury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Bury?
Accrington ST vs Bury (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chelsea6
Western Sydney Wanderers4
NAC Breda3
OFI2
Solihull Moors1
Burton Albion1
Morecambe1
AFC Fylde1
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton1
Grimsby5
Lincoln1
Oldham0
Stockport County1
Swindon Town2
Leyton Orient1