Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea host Western Sydney Wanderers in the Friendlies Clubs on Tuesday 28 July, with kick-off at 10:45 (WAT) at Accor Stadium.
Form guide
Chelsea's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Sunderland 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Western Sydney Wanderers's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Cooma Tigers FC 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Chelsea and 1.1 for Western Sydney Wanderers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea 70%, draw 20%, Western Sydney Wanderers 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chelsea 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea70%fair 1.44 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @7.50
Western Sydney Wanderers10%fair 9.91 · @17.50
3.73Expected goals
2.68Chelsea xG
1.05Western Sydney Wanderers xG
54%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Chelsea 2.7 – 1.1 Western Sydney Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✓
70%
1.44
1.14
Double chance
Chelsea or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Half-time result
Chelsea ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
Chelsea – last 6
LWDLLL
24 May
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
19 May
vs Tottenham
2–1
W
9 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Brighton
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Western Sydney Wanderers – last 6
WLLLLL
22 Jul
@ Cooma Tigers FC
2–0
W
25 Apr
vs Melbourne Victory
0–2
L
18 Apr
@ Wellington Phoenix
1–2
L
11 Apr
vs Sydney
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Melbourne City
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Adelaide United
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Western Sydney Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Western Sydney Wanderers 10%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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