Value bet: China to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChina to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
China vs Thailand preview and prediction
The match
China host Thailand in the Friendlies on Tuesday 9 June, with kick-off at 12:35 (WAT) at Hangzhou Dragon Stadium.
Form guide
China's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Singapore 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for China and 1.1 for Thailand. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: China 60%, draw 20%, Thailand 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: China to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: China 2–1 Thailand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Thailand21%fair 4.88 · @3.45
3.12Expected goals
2.03China xG
1.09Thailand xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: China 2.0 – 1.1 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
China to win✗
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.28
Half-time result
China ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT China / FT China✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
China – last 3
WLW
5 Jun
@ Singapore
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Cameroon
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Curaçao
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thailand – last 2
DW
5 Jun
vs Kuwait
2–2
D
31 Mar
vs Turkmenistan
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China and Thailand.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win China vs Thailand?
On our numbers China have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thailand 21%.
How many goals will there be in China vs Thailand?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is China 2–1 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is China vs Thailand?
China vs Thailand (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Hangzhou Dragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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