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Friendlies · World · VFF Freshwater Stadium
Tue 9 Jun 2026

Vanuatu vs Fiji prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Vanuatu to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVanuatu to win63% · @1.60
Double chanceVanuatu or draw85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 9.32

Win chances

Vanuatu63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Fiji15%fair 6.72 · @4.75
3.00Expected goals
2.08Vanuatu xG
0.92Fiji xG
48%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Vanuatu 2.1 – 0.9 Fiji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Vanuatu are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Fiji.

Vanuatu have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Fiji have 0 points from their last 1 (0W 0D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Vanuatu come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Vanuatu, 0.9 for Fiji). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Vanuatu have won 1, Fiji have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Vanuatu to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.59.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVanuatu to win63%1.591.60
Double chanceVanuatu or draw85%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.94–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.55–
Half-time resultVanuatu ahead at half-time47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vanuatu / FT Vanuatu41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011%9.32–

Form

Vanuatu – last 1

W
6 Junvs Fiji2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Fiji – last 1

L
6 Jun@ Vanuatu1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Vanuatu v Fiji2–1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vanuatu vs Fiji?

Our pick is Vanuatu to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Vanuatu vs Fiji?

On our numbers Vanuatu have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fiji 15%.

How many goals will there be in Vanuatu vs Fiji?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

When is Vanuatu vs Fiji?

Vanuatu vs Fiji (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at VFF Freshwater Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.