Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: XV de Piracicaba to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNoroeste to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba preview and prediction
The match
XV de Piracicaba travel to Estadio Alfredo de Castilho in the Copa Paulista on Sunday 9 August (14:00 WAT) to face Noroeste.
Form guide
Noroeste's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with XV de Piracicaba 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
XV de Piracicaba's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Noroeste 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Noroeste. Across their last 2 meetings Noroeste have won 0, XV de Piracicaba 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Noroeste and 1.0 for XV de Piracicaba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Noroeste 40%, draw 24%, XV de Piracicaba 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: XV de Piracicaba to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Noroeste 1–0 XV de Piracicaba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Noroeste40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
XV de Piracicaba35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.06Expected goals
1.08Noroeste xG
0.98XV de Piracicaba xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Noroeste 1.1 – 1.0 XV de Piracicaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
On our numbers Noroeste have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and XV de Piracicaba 35%.
How many goals will there be in Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
Our predicted score is Noroeste 1–0 XV de Piracicaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo de Castilho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Linense5
Grêmio Prudente2
EC São Bernardo2
São Caetano0
Oeste1
Paulista1