Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEC São Bernardo to win ✓59% · @1.77
Double chanceEC São Bernardo or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.26
EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano preview and prediction
The match
EC São Bernardo host São Caetano in the Copa Paulista on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
EC São Bernardo's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat São Caetano 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
São Caetano's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to EC São Bernardo 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
EC São Bernardo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished São Caetano 1–4 EC São Bernardo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for EC São Bernardo and 1.0 for São Caetano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: EC São Bernardo 59%, draw 21%, São Caetano 20%.
Safer route: EC São Bernardo or draw (80%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: EC São Bernardo 1–1 São Caetano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EC São Bernardo59%fair 1.69 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.25
São Caetano20%fair 4.94 · @4.40
2.85Expected goals
1.87EC São Bernardo xG
0.98São Caetano xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: EC São Bernardo 1.9 – 1.0 São Caetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano?
On our numbers EC São Bernardo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and São Caetano 20%.
How many goals will there be in EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano?
Our predicted score is EC São Bernardo 1–1 São Caetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano?
EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Linense5
Grêmio Prudente2
Noroeste2
XV de Piracicaba1
Oeste1
Paulista1