Value bet: Grêmio Prudente to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLinense to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Linense vs Grêmio Prudente preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Paulista sees Linense take on Grêmio Prudente on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Linense's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Grêmio Prudente 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Grêmio Prudente's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Linense 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 August 2026, finished Grêmio Prudente 0–0 Linense. Across their last 2 meetings Linense have won 0, Grêmio Prudente 1, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Linense and 0.7 for Grêmio Prudente. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Grêmio Prudente to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Linense 0–0 Grêmio Prudente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Linense40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Grêmio Prudente35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
1.56Expected goals
0.83Linense xG
0.74Grêmio Prudente xG
49%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Linense 0.8 – 0.7 Grêmio Prudente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Linense vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Linense vs Grêmio Prudente?
On our numbers Linense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grêmio Prudente 35%.
How many goals will there be in Linense vs Grêmio Prudente?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linense vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our predicted score is Linense 0–0 Grêmio Prudente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Linense vs Grêmio Prudente?
Linense vs Grêmio Prudente (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Noroeste2
XV de Piracicaba1
EC São Bernardo2
São Caetano0
Oeste1
Paulista1