Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarília to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Linense vs Marília preview and prediction
The match
Linense host Marília in the Copa Paulista on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Linense's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Bandeirante SP 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Marília's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Grêmio Prudente 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Marília arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.6 for Linense and 0.7 for Marília. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Linense 36%, draw 26%, Marília 39%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Under 1.5 goals at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Linense 0–0 Marília. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Linense36%fair 2.81 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Marília39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
1.29Expected goals
0.62Linense xG
0.67Marília xG
43%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–028%
0–118%
1–017%
1–111%
0–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Linense 0.6 – 0.7 Marília expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marília to win✗
39%
2.59
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.30 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.42 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.42
–
Form
Linense – last 5
DDLLL
18 Jul
@ Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Santo André
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Sao Bento
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Grêmio Prudente
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Marília – last 6
WLDLWD
17 Jul
vs Grêmio Prudente
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Portuguesa Santista
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ XV de Jau
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs USAC
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linense and Marília.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Linense vs Marília?
On our numbers Linense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Marília 39%.
How many goals will there be in Linense vs Marília?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linense vs Marília?
Our predicted score is Linense 0–0 Marília, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Linense vs Marília?
Linense vs Marília (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus3
Paulista1
Santo André0
São Caetano0