Value bet: Juventus to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventus to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.05
Juventus vs Paulista preview and prediction
The match
Paulista travel to Estadio Rua Javari in the Copa Paulista on Sunday 26 July (14:00 WAT) to face Juventus.
Form guide
Juventus's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Oeste 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paulista's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Primavera SP 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Juventus and 0.4 for Paulista. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Juventus to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Juventus 1–0 Paulista. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventus64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Paulista14%fair 7.19 · @4.50
1.65Expected goals
1.29Juventus xG
0.36Paulista xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.3 – 0.4 Paulista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Juventus or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.05
–
Form
Juventus – last 6
WWDDWL
19 Jul
@ Oeste
1–0
W
13 May
@ Ferroviária
2–1
W
7 May
vs Ferroviária
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Votuporanguense
0–0
D
21 Apr
vs Votuporanguense
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paulista – last 6
WWDDDL
18 Jul
vs Primavera SP
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Portuguesa Santista
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Uniao Barbarense
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Francana
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Rio Preto
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Paulista.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Juventus vs Paulista?
On our numbers Juventus have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paulista 14%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Paulista?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Paulista?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 Paulista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Paulista?
Juventus vs Paulista (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rua Javari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Linense3
Marília1
Santo André0
São Caetano0