Value bet: UD Logroñés to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUD Logroñés to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceUD Logroñés or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.50
UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Play Offs sees UD Logroñés take on SS Reyes on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Form guide
UD Logroñés's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Getafe II 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SS Reyes's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Alcoyano 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
UD Logroñés arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for UD Logroñés and 0.8 for SS Reyes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UD Logroñés 55%, draw 23%, SS Reyes 22%.
Safer route: UD Logroñés or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: UD Logroñés to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was UD Logroñés or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: UD Logroñés 1–0 SS Reyes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UD Logroñés55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @2.90
SS Reyes22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.46UD Logroñés xG
0.79SS Reyes xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: UD Logroñés 1.5 – 0.8 SS Reyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
UD Logroñés or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.50
–
Form
UD Logroñés – last 6
WWWDWW
10 May
@ Getafe II
2–0
W
3 May
@ Ebro
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Mutilvera
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Alfaro
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Real Unión
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SS Reyes – last 6
DWLWWD
17 May
vs Alcoyano
1–1
D
3 May
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Real Madrid III
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Intercity
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Las Palmas II
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ CD Coria
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Logroñés and SS Reyes.
What is the prediction for UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes?
Our pick is UD Logroñés or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes?
On our numbers UD Logroñés have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SS Reyes 22%.
How many goals will there be in UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes?
Our predicted score is UD Logroñés 1–0 SS Reyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes?
UD Logroñés vs SS Reyes (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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