Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Águilas vs Poblense preview and prediction
The match
Águilas host Poblense in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Rubial.
Form guide
Águilas's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Utebo 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Poblense's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Numancia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Águilas and 0.9 for Poblense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águilas 56%, draw 20%, Poblense 24%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Águilas to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Águilas 1–0 Poblense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.30
Poblense24%fair 4.24 · @3.65
2.56Expected goals
1.63Águilas xG
0.93Poblense xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.6 – 0.9 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Form
Águilas – last 6
WWLWWW
17 May
vs Utebo
2–1
W
3 May
vs Almería II
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Estepona
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Puente Genil
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
WWLWWW
17 May
vs Numancia
2–1
W
10 May
@ Numancia
1–0
W
3 May
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Porreres
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Terrassa
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Torrent
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Poblense.
Our pick is Águilas to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Águilas vs Poblense?
On our numbers Águilas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Poblense 24%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Poblense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–0 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Poblense?
Águilas vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Rubial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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