Thursday, 12 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly

Cerro

LLDDW
1–0
FT

Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCentral Espanol to win ✗41% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.61

Cerro vs Central Espanol preview and prediction

The match

Central Espanol travel to face Cerro in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 24 May (14:00 WAT). Cerro are 9th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Central Espanol sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Cerro's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Central Espanol's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Defensor Sporting 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Central Espanol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Central Espanol 3–1 Cerro.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Cerro and 1.3 for Central Espanol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cerro 1–1 Central Espanol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Cerro34%fair 2.98 · @2.58
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Central Espanol41%fair 2.44 · @2.72
2.39Expected goals
1.12Cerro xG
1.27Central Espanol xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Cerro 1.1 – 1.3 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCentral Espanol to win ✗41%2.442.72 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.832.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.531.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Central Espanol / FT Central Espanol ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.61–

Form

Cerro – last 6

LLDDWW
10 May@ Club Nacional0–4L
26 Apr@ Central Espanol1–3L
19 Aprvs Atletico Torque1–1D
11 Apr@ Cerro Largo1–1D
5 Aprvs Defensor Sporting1–0W
25 Marvs Juventud1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Central Espanol – last 6

WWLWWD
17 Mayvs Defensor Sporting2–1W
26 Aprvs Cerro3–1W
18 Apr@ Albion FC1–6L
4 Apr@ Club Nacional1–0W
31 Marvs Deportivo Maldonado2–1W
24 Mar@ Liverpool Montevideo3–3D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Central Espanol v Cerro3–1
Cerro vs Central Espanol head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Central Espanol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Cerro vs Central Espanol?

On our numbers Cerro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Central Espanol 41%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Central Espanol?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Central Espanol?

Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cerro vs Central Espanol?

Cerro vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.