Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a preview and prediction
The match
Al Zawra'a travel to face Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 20 May (18:00 WAT). Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Zawra'a sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Newroz 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Zawra'a's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Al-Qasim 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Al Zawra'a arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.7 for Al Zawra'a. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 61%, draw 20%, Al Zawra'a 18%.
Safer route: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Zawra'a. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.10
Al Zawra'a18%fair 5.45 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.62Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.71Al Zawra'a xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.6 – 0.7 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.36
–
Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
LDWDDW
27 Apr
vs Newroz
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Erbil
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Al-Qasim
5–0
W
5 Apr
vs Naft
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Al Shorta
3–3
D
26 Mar
vs Al Karkh
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Zawra'a – last 6
DWDWWD
14 May
vs Al-Qasim
1–1
D
5 May
@ Al Talaba
1–0
W
1 May
vs Duhok
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Diyala
2–0
W
13 Apr
@ Al Shorta
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Zawra'a.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Zawra'a 18%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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