Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Karkh to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceAl Karkh or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Al Najaf vs Al Karkh preview and prediction
The match
Al Karkh travel to face Al Najaf in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 20 May (15:30 WAT).
Form guide
Al Najaf's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Erbil 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al Karkh's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Baghdad 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Al Karkh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Al Najaf and 1.8 for Al Karkh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najaf 14%, draw 22%, Al Karkh 64%.
Safer route: Al Karkh or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Karkh to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Al Najaf 0–1 Al Karkh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najaf14%fair 7.01 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Al Karkh64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
2.50Expected goals
0.70Al Najaf xG
1.80Al Karkh xG
43%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Al Najaf 0.7 – 1.8 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Karkh to win✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Al Karkh or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Al Karkh ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Karkh / FT Al Karkh✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Al Najaf – last 6
LDLLWL
11 May
vs Erbil
1–4
L
7 May
vs Baghdad
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Duhok
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Gharraf
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Diyala
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Mosul
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Karkh – last 6
WWWDLD
11 May
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
6 May
vs Zakho
3–1
W
27 Apr
@ Al Kahrabaa
3–1
W
22 Apr
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Diyala
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Newroz
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najaf and Al Karkh.
Our pick is Al Karkh to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Al Najaf have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Karkh 64%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Al Najaf 0–1 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
Al Najaf vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.