Value bet: Zakho to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZakho to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Newroz vs Zakho preview and prediction
The match
Zakho travel to face Newroz in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 20 May (15:30 WAT). Newroz are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Zakho sit 15th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newroz's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Zakho's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Diyala 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Newroz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Newroz and 1.3 for Zakho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newroz 33%, draw 22%, Zakho 45%.
Value angle: Zakho to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Newroz 1–1 Zakho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newroz33%fair 3.00 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Zakho45%fair 2.25 · @2.50
2.39Expected goals
1.08Newroz xG
1.31Zakho xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.1 – 1.3 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zakho to win✗
45%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zakho / FT Zakho✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.32
–
Form
Newroz – last 6
WWDWWW
27 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Al Minaa Basra
4–1
W
8 Apr
vs Al Karkh
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs Gharraf
2–1
W
19 Mar
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zakho – last 6
LLWWDD
11 May
vs Diyala
1–2
L
6 May
@ Al Karkh
1–3
L
1 May
vs Naft Maysan
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Al Shabab
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Zakho.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Newroz vs Zakho?
On our numbers Newroz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zakho 45%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Zakho?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–1 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Zakho?
Newroz vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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