Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Albion FC to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗57% · @1.94
Double chanceAlbion FC or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Albion FC vs Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Wanderers travel to Estadio Luis Franzini in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 17 May (22:00 WAT) to face Albion FC. Albion FC are 12th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Wanderers sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Albion FC's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Club Nacional 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Wanderers's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Albion FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 March 2026, finished Albion FC 2–1 Wanderers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Albion FC and 0.8 for Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albion FC 57%, draw 26%, Wanderers 17%.
Safer route: Albion FC or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Albion FC to win at 1.94 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Albion FC or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Albion FC 1–0 Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albion FC57%fair 1.75 · @1.94
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Wanderers17%fair 5.97 · @3.75
2.52Expected goals
1.70Albion FC xG
0.82Wanderers xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.7 – 0.8 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Albion FC vs Wanderers?
Our pick is Albion FC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Albion FC vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wanderers 17%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–0 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Wanderers?
Albion FC vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
