Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 54% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAzerbaijan to win ✓48% · @14.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.22
Azerbaijan vs San Marino preview and prediction
The match
San Marino travel to face Azerbaijan in the Friendlies on Tuesday 9 June (19:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Azerbaijan and 1.1 for San Marino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Azerbaijan 48%, draw 17%, San Marino 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 54% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Azerbaijan 1–1 San Marino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Azerbaijan48%fair 2.07 · @14.00
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @6.40
San Marino35%fair 2.90 · @1.14
2.56Expected goals
1.43Azerbaijan xG
1.13San Marino xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Azerbaijan 1.4 – 1.1 San Marino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Azerbaijan to win✓
48%
2.07
14.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.22
–
Form
Azerbaijan – last 2
LW
5 Jun
vs Malta
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs St. Lucia
6–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Marino – last 2
LD
5 Jun
vs Bangladesh
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Andorra
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and San Marino.
What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs San Marino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Azerbaijan vs San Marino?
On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 17% and San Marino 35%.
How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs San Marino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs San Marino?
Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 1–1 San Marino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Azerbaijan vs San Marino?
Azerbaijan vs San Marino (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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