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Today's tips
Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Arechi

Salernitana

LWWWL
1–1
FT

Casertana

DWDWL

Salernitana vs Casertana prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Salernitana or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Salernitana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSalernitana to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceSalernitana or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Salernitana vs Casertana preview and prediction

The match

Salernitana host Casertana in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Arechi.

Form guide

Salernitana's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Benevento 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Casertana's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Crotone 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Casertana 1–0 Salernitana.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Salernitana and 1.0 for Casertana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Salernitana or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Salernitana 1–0 Casertana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Salernitana58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Casertana15%fair 6.50 · @3.75
2.93Expected goals
1.97Salernitana xG
0.96Casertana xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Salernitana 2.0 – 1.0 Casertana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalernitana to win ✗58%1.711.91 ▲
Double chanceSalernitana or draw ✓85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Half-time resultSalernitana ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salernitana / FT Salernitana ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Form

Salernitana – last 6

LWWWLD
6 Aprvs Benevento0–1L
23 Marvs Team Altamura2–1W
15 Mar@ Crotone1–0W
8 Marvs Latina2–1W
5 Mar@ Casertana0–1L
1 Marvs Catania0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Casertana – last 5

DWDWL
6 Mayvs Crotone1–1D
15 Marvs SS Monopoli2–1W
9 Mar@ Catania0–0D
5 Marvs Salernitana1–0W
1 Mar@ Siracusa0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Casertana v Salernitana1–0
Salernitana vs Casertana head-to-head page →

More Serie C Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Lecco1 Pianese1 139%2.15X26%2.95236%3.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Ravenna1 Cittadella1 144%2.15X22%3.10234%3.25 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✓
FT Renate0 Casarano3 133%2.40X22%3.10245%2.75 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Potenza3 Campobasso FC1 148%2.20X21%3.30231%2.90 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Casertana?

Our pick is Salernitana or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Salernitana vs Casertana?

On our numbers Salernitana have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Casertana 15%.

How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Casertana?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salernitana vs Casertana?

Our predicted score is Salernitana 1–0 Casertana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Salernitana vs Casertana?

Salernitana vs Casertana (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.