Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.00
Lecco vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
Lecco host Pianese in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Form guide
Lecco's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Giana Erminio 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pianese's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Juventus U23 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Lecco and 1.1 for Pianese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lecco 39%, draw 26%, Pianese 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Pianese to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lecco 1–1 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.95
Pianese36%fair 2.79 · @3.40
2.25Expected goals
1.15Lecco xG
1.10Pianese xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.2 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.00
–
Form
Lecco – last 6
WWWLWD
6 May
vs Giana Erminio
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Alcione
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Pro Patria
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Novara
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 6
WWLDWD
6 May
@ Juventus U23
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Ternana
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Campobasso FC
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Forli
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Pineto
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ravenna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lecco vs Pianese?
On our numbers Lecco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pianese 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Pianese?
Lecco vs Pianese (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ravenna1
Cittadella1
Renate0
Casarano3
Salernitana1
Casertana1
Potenza3
Campobasso FC1