Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 2.10 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.10Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain to win ✗73% · @1.06
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.07
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Spain vs Iraq preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Spain take on Iraq on Thursday 4 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Riazor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Spain and 0.6 for Iraq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 61%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spain 73%, draw 14%, Iraq 13%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spain 1–0 Iraq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spain73%fair 1.36 · @1.06
Draw14%fair 7.40 · @12.00
Iraq13%fair 7.57 · @25.00
2.59Expected goals
1.99Spain xG
0.60Iraq xG
48%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spain 2.0 – 0.6 Iraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✗
73%
1.36
1.06
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
2.10 ▲
Half-time result
Spain ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Form
Spain – last 2
DW
31 Mar
vs Egypt
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Serbia
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Iraq – last 2
WW
29 May
vs Andorra
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Bolivia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Iraq.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Spain vs Iraq?
On our numbers Spain have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Iraq 13%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Iraq?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Iraq?
Our predicted score is Spain 1–0 Iraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Iraq?
Spain vs Iraq (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Riazor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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