Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Guinea to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthern Ireland to win ✓45% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.79
Northern Ireland vs Guinea preview and prediction
The match
Northern Ireland host Guinea in the Friendlies on Thursday 4 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de La Linea.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Northern Ireland and 1.0 for Guinea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Guinea to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Northern Ireland 1–1 Guinea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northern Ireland45%fair 2.21 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Guinea32%fair 3.10 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.28Northern Ireland xG
1.02Guinea xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Northern Ireland 1.3 – 1.0 Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northern Ireland to win✓
45%
2.21
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northern Ireland / FT Northern Ireland✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.79
–
Form
Northern Ireland – last 2
DL
31 Mar
@ Wales
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ Italy
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guinea – last 2
LD
31 Mar
vs Benin
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Togo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland and Guinea.
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
On our numbers Northern Ireland have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guinea 32%.
How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
Our predicted score is Northern Ireland 1–1 Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
Northern Ireland vs Guinea (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de La Linea.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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