Value bet: Australia W to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustralia W to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceAustralia W or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Australia W vs Mexico W preview and prediction
The match
Mexico W travel to face Australia W in the Friendlies Women on Saturday 6 June (10:15 WAT).
Form guide
Australia W's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Kenya W 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Mexico W's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Puerto Rico W 6–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 5.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mexico W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Australia W and 0.8 for Mexico W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Australia W 64%, draw 23%, Mexico W 13%.
Safer route: Australia W or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Australia W to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Australia W 2–0 Mexico W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Australia W64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Mexico W13%fair 7.74 · @4.85
2.78Expected goals
1.99Australia W xG
0.80Mexico W xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Australia W 2.0 – 0.8 Mexico W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Australia W to win✗
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Australia W or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Australia W ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Australia W / FT Australia W✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.13
–
Form
Australia W – last 6
WLWWDW
15 Apr
@ Kenya W
2–0
W
21 Mar
@ Japan W
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ China W
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Korea DPR
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs South Korea W
3–3
D
5 Mar
@ Iran W
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mexico W – last 4
WWWW
19 Apr
vs Puerto Rico W
6–0
W
11 Apr
vs US Virgin Islands W
9–0
W
8 Mar
vs Brazil W
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ St. Lucia W
7–0
W
5.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Australia W and Mexico W.
What is the prediction for Australia W vs Mexico W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Australia W vs Mexico W?
On our numbers Australia W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mexico W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Australia W vs Mexico W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Australia W vs Mexico W?
Our predicted score is Australia W 2–0 Mexico W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Australia W vs Mexico W?
Australia W vs Mexico W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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