Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJapan W to win ✓80% · @1.05
Double chanceJapan W or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Japan W vs South Africa W preview and prediction
The match
South Africa W travel to Yanmar Stadium Nagai in the Friendlies Women on Saturday 6 June (07:50 WAT) to face Japan W.
Form guide
Japan W's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to USA W 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.4 for Japan W and 0.4 for South Africa W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 62%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Japan W 80%, draw 16%, South Africa W 4%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Japan W 2–0 South Africa W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Japan W80%fair 1.26 · @1.05
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @8.75
South Africa W4%fair 24.27 · @34.00
2.81Expected goals
2.37Japan W xG
0.44South Africa W xG
42%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–017%
1–014%
3–013%
4–08%
2–17%
1–16%
From our goals model: Japan W 2.4 – 0.4 South Africa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan W to win✓
80%
1.26
1.05
Double chance
Japan W or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Half-time result
Japan W ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan W / FT Japan W✓
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Form
Japan W – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Apr
@ USA W
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ USA W
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Australia W
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ South Korea W
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Philippines W
7–0
W
10 Mar
vs Vietnam W
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
South Africa W – last 2
WW
17 Apr
vs Algeria W
2–0
W
14 Apr
vs Algeria W
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Japan W and South Africa W.
What is the prediction for Japan W vs South Africa W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Japan W vs South Africa W?
On our numbers Japan W have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 16% and South Africa W 4%.
How many goals will there be in Japan W vs South Africa W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Japan W vs South Africa W?
Our predicted score is Japan W 2–0 South Africa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Japan W vs South Africa W?
Japan W vs South Africa W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 07:50 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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