Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: USA W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUSA W to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Brazil W vs USA W preview and prediction
The match
Brazil W host USA W in the Friendlies Women on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Form guide
Brazil W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Canada W 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.4 goals a game.
USA W's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Japan W 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.4 for Brazil W and 2.5 for USA W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brazil W 20%, draw 20%, USA W 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.67.
Value angle: USA W to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brazil W 1–2 USA W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brazil W20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.20
USA W60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
3.91Expected goals
1.42Brazil W xG
2.49USA W xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Brazil W 1.4 – 2.5 USA W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA W to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
USA W ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA W / FT USA W✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Form
Brazil W – last 5
WWWLW
19 Apr
vs Canada W
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Zambia W
6–1
W
12 Apr
vs South Korea W
5–1
W
8 Mar
@ Mexico W
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Costa Rica W
5–2
W
3.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
USA W – last 4
WLWW
18 Apr
vs Japan W
3–0
W
15 Apr
vs Japan W
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Canada W
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Argentina W
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil W and USA W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Brazil W vs USA W?
On our numbers Brazil W have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and USA W 60%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil W vs USA W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil W vs USA W?
Our predicted score is Brazil W 1–2 USA W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Brazil W vs USA W?
Brazil W vs USA W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.