Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Varesina to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVaresina to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Castellanzese vs Varesina preview and prediction
The match
Varesina travel to face Castellanzese in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Castellanzese's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Varesina's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Caldiero Terme 2–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Varesina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Varesina 2–2 Castellanzese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Castellanzese and 1.2 for Varesina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Varesina to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Castellanzese 1–1 Varesina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellanzese36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.80
Varesina38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
2.29Expected goals
1.13Castellanzese xG
1.16Varesina xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.1 – 1.2 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Varesina?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Varesina 38%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Castellanzese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chievo
Milan II
USD Casatese4
Leon0