Venezuela vs Türkiye prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Venezuela 0.9 – 2.4 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Türkiye travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 10% for Venezuela.
Venezuela have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Türkiye have 9 points from their last 3 (3W 0D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (0.9 for Venezuela, 2.4 for Türkiye). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Türkiye to win ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.63 ▲ |
| Double chance | Türkiye or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Türkiye ahead at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Türkiye / FT Türkiye ✗ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 10% | 9.62 | – |
Form
Venezuela – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Trinidad and Tobago | 4–1 | W |
Türkiye – last 3
| 1 Jun | vs FYR Macedonia | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Kosovo | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs Romania | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezuela and Türkiye.
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What is the prediction for Venezuela vs Türkiye?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Venezuela vs Türkiye?
On our numbers Venezuela have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Türkiye 66%.
How many goals will there be in Venezuela vs Türkiye?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Venezuela vs Türkiye?
Venezuela vs Türkiye (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Chase Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.