Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Africa to win ✗75% · @1.15
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
South Africa vs Nicaragua preview and prediction
The match
South Africa host Nicaragua in the Friendlies on Friday 29 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at FNB Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for South Africa and 0.7 for Nicaragua. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Africa 75%, draw 15%, Nicaragua 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: South Africa 2–0 Nicaragua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Africa75%fair 1.33 · @1.15
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @6.20
Nicaragua9%fair 10.77 · @14.00
3.12Expected goals
2.41South Africa xG
0.71Nicaragua xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: South Africa 2.4 – 0.7 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win✗
75%
1.33
1.15
Double chance
South Africa or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
South Africa ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa✗
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Form
South Africa – last 2
LD
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nicaragua – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Russia
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Nicaragua.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Nicaragua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win South Africa vs Nicaragua?
On our numbers South Africa have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Nicaragua 9%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Nicaragua?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Nicaragua?
Our predicted score is South Africa 2–0 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs Nicaragua?
South Africa vs Nicaragua (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at FNB Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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