Iraq vs Andorra prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Iraq 0.4 – 1.3 Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Andorra travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 14% for Iraq.
Iraq have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Andorra have 1 points from their last 2 (0W 1D 1L), averaging 0.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Iraq come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (0.4 for Iraq, 1.3 for Andorra). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (24%), 0–0 (18%), 0–2 (16%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 is our value angle (67% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Andorra to win ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | Andorra or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Andorra / FT Andorra ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 24% | 4.10 | – |
Form
Iraq – last 1
| 1 Apr | vs Bolivia | 2–1 | W |
Andorra – last 2
| 31 Mar | @ San Marino | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Montenegro | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iraq and Andorra.
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FYR Macedonia0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Iraq vs Andorra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iraq vs Andorra?
On our numbers Iraq have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Andorra 64%.
How many goals will there be in Iraq vs Andorra?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Iraq vs Andorra?
Iraq vs Andorra (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.