New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 7 Jun 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓39% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising preview and prediction

The match

The USL League One Cup sees New Mexico United take on Phoenix Rising on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 13th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Phoenix Rising sit 35th on 3 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

New Mexico United's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Hartford Athletic 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Phoenix Rising's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Sacramento Republic 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for New Mexico United and 1.4 for Phoenix Rising. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%.

Betting angles

Win chances: New Mexico United 39%, draw 22%, Phoenix Rising 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

New Mexico United39%fair 2.55 · @2.25

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50

Phoenix Rising38%fair 2.60 · @2.70

2.85Expected goals

1.43New Mexico United xG

1.42Phoenix Rising xG

64%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

2–18%

1–28%

1–08%

0–18%

2–26%

From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.4 – 1.4 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	New Mexico United to win ✓	39%	2.55	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.56	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	1.45
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United ✓	22%	4.53	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.88	–

Form

New Mexico United – last 6

DWLLWD

31 May	@ Hartford Athletic	0–0	D
24 May	vs Charleston Battery	1–0	W
21 May	vs Tampa Bay Rowdies	0–1	L
17 May	@ Colorado Springs	0–4	L
10 May	vs Las Vegas Lights	3–1	W
7 May	vs El Paso Locomotive	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Phoenix Rising – last 6

WLWDWL

31 May	vs Sacramento Republic	2–0	W
24 May	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	0–3	L
17 May	vs Orange County SC	2–1	W
10 May	vs San Antonio	1–1	D
3 May	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1–0	W
26 Apr	vs Colorado Springs	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	4	4	0	+9	12
2	Colorado Springs	4	4	0	+9	12
3	Tampa Bay Rowdies	4	4	0	+9	12
4	San Antonio	4	4	0	+5	12
5	Charlotte Independence	4	4	0	+4	12
6	Miami FC	4	3	1	+6	9
7	Charleston Battery	4	3	1	+5	9
8	Birmingham Legion	4	3	1	+5	9
9	Hartford Athletic	4	3	1	+5	9
10	Rhode Island	4	3	1	+4	9
11	Sacramento Republic	4	3	1	+4	9
12	Boise	4	3	1	+3	9
13	New Mexico United	4	3	1	+3	9
14	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	+3	9
15	One Knoxville	4	3	1	+2	9
16	Spokane Velocity	4	3	1	0	9
17	Brooklyn	4	2	2	+4	6
18	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4	2	2	+3	6
19	Lexington	4	2	2	0	6
20	El Paso Locomotive	4	2	2	0	6
21	Detroit City	4	2	2	0	6
22	Alta	4	2	2	-1	6
23	Union Omaha	4	2	2	-2	6
24	Portland Hearts of Pine	4	2	2	-3	6
25	Monterey Bay	4	1	3	-2	3
26	Oakland Roots	4	1	3	-2	3
27	Sporting JAX	4	1	3	-2	3
28	FC Tulsa	4	1	3	-3	3
29	Greenville Triumph	4	1	3	-3	3
30	Las Vegas Lights	4	1	3	-3	3
31	Loudoun United	4	1	3	-3	3
32	Forward Madison	4	1	3	-4	3
33	Westchester SC	4	1	3	-4	3
34	Corpus Christi	4	1	3	-4	3
35	Phoenix Rising	4	1	3	-5	3
36	NY Cosmos	4	1	3	-6	3
37	Naples	4	1	3	-6	3
38	Richmond Kickers	4	1	3	-6	3
39	Sarasota Paradise	4	1	3	-7	3
40	Chattanooga Red Wolves	4	0	4	-5	0
41	Fort Wayne	4	0	4	-6	0
42	Orange County SC	4	0	4	-6	0

Team

Pts

Charlotte Independence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

-1

-2

Portland Hearts of Pine

-3

-2

-2

-2

-3

-3

-3

-3

-4

-4

-4

-5

-6

-6

-6

-7

Chattanooga Red Wolves

-5

Fort Wayne

-6

Orange County SC

-6

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

On our numbers New Mexico United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Phoenix Rising 38%.

How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes