Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaples to win ✗66% · @1.80
Double chanceNaples or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Naples vs Sarasota Paradise preview and prediction
The match
Naples host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Naples are 37th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Sarasota Paradise sit 39th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Naples's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Charlotte Independence 1–5 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Naples 2–0 Sarasota Paradise.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Naples and 0.8 for Sarasota Paradise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Naples to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naples 2–0 Sarasota Paradise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naples66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Sarasota Paradise12%fair 8.11 · @4.00
2.85Expected goals
2.06Naples xG
0.79Sarasota Paradise xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Naples 2.1 – 0.8 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Naples to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Naples have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarasota Paradise 12%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Naples 2–0 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
Naples vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
