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USL League One Cup · USA · Keyworth Stadium
1–1
–Pens 1–3

Detroit City vs Lexington prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Detroit City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDetroit City to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceDetroit City or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30

Detroit City vs Lexington preview and prediction

The match

Lexington travel to Keyworth Stadium in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 7 June (00:00 WAT) to face Detroit City. Detroit City are 21st with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Lexington sit 19th on 6 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Detroit City's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Charleston Battery 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Lexington's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat El Paso Locomotive 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Detroit City and 0.9 for Lexington. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Detroit City to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Detroit City 2–0 Lexington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Detroit City65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.40
Lexington16%fair 6.41 · @4.20
3.03Expected goals
2.11Detroit City xG
0.92Lexington xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Detroit City 2.1 – 0.9 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDetroit City to win ✗65%1.541.73 ▲
Double chanceDetroit City or draw ✓84%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultDetroit City ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Detroit City / FT Detroit City ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.30–

Form

Detroit City – last 6

LWWLWL
30 May@ Charleston Battery0–2L
21 Mayvs Miami FC2–1W
16 May@ Forward Madison1–0W
10 May@ Hartford Athletic1–2L
2 Mayvs Louisville City2–1W
19 Apr@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lexington – last 6

WLWLWD
31 May@ El Paso Locomotive4–1W
24 May@ Indy Eleven1–3L
9 Mayvs Monterey Bay3–1W
3 May@ Las Vegas Lights1–2L
26 Aprvs Forward Madison4–2W
19 Apr@ Orange County SC0–0D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Lexington.

Detroit City vs Lexington head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Lexington?

Our pick is Detroit City to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Detroit City vs Lexington?

On our numbers Detroit City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lexington 16%.

How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Lexington?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Lexington?

Our predicted score is Detroit City 2–0 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Detroit City vs Lexington?

Detroit City vs Lexington (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.