Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pafos to win @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chancePafos or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Pafos take on Omonia Nicosia on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stelios Kyriakidis. Pafos are 6th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Omonia Nicosia sit 2nd on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pafos's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat AEL 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Omonia Nicosia's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat AEK Larnaca 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pafos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Pafos and 0.8 for Omonia Nicosia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Pafos to win at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pafos 2–0 Omonia Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pafos67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.75
Omonia Nicosia12%fair 8.03 · @4.60
2.98Expected goals
2.14Pafos xG
0.83Omonia Nicosia xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pafos 2.1 – 0.8 Omonia Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Pafos or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Pafos – last 6
WDWDDD
22 Apr
vs AEL
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ Aris
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ AEL
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Aris
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Anorthosis
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
WWDLLL
14 Apr
@ AEK Larnaca
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Olympiakos
5–0
W
2 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ HNK Rijeka
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Omonia Nicosia.
What is the prediction for Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia?
On our numbers Pafos have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Omonia Nicosia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Pafos 2–0 Omonia Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia?
Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
