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1. Division · Cyprus · Alphamega Stadium

Aris

DLLWD
1–0
FT

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia preview and prediction

The match

The 1. Division sees Aris take on Apoel Nicosia on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium. Aris are 7th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Apoel Nicosia sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Aris's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Pafos 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Apoel Nicosia's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Apollon Limassol 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Apoel Nicosia 2–1 Aris. Across their last 2 meetings Aris have won 0, Apoel Nicosia 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Aris and 1.5 for Apoel Nicosia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Aris35%fair 2.84 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Apoel Nicosia44%fair 2.27 · @2.40
2.80Expected goals
1.30Aris xG
1.50Apoel Nicosia xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Aris 1.3 – 1.5 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApoel Nicosia to win ✗44%2.272.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.99–

Form

Aris – last 6

DLLWDD
14 Aprvs Pafos1–1D
5 Apr@ Apoel Nicosia1–2L
15 Marvs Apoel Nicosia1–2L
8 Mar@ Enosis4–0W
1 Marvs Pafos2–2D
20 Feb@ Krasava Ypsonas1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Apoel Nicosia – last 6

DLLWWL
29 Aprvs Apollon Limassol0–0D
22 Apr@ Apollon Limassol2–4L
14 Aprvs Apollon Limassol2–3L
5 Aprvs Aris2–1W
15 Mar@ Aris2–1W
8 Marvs Anorthosis0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Apoel Nicosia v Aris2–1
15 Mar 2026Aris v Apoel Nicosia1–2
Aris vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9621+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9531+1118
3AEL9603018
4Apoel Nicosia9522+1017
5Apollon Limassol9441+1016
6Pafos9441+616
7Aris9432015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9324-211
9Olympiakos9162-19
10Nea Salamis9225-48
11Anorthosis9207-106
12Karmiotissa9135-146
13Omonia Aradippou9135-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9126-115

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

On our numbers Aris have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Apoel Nicosia 44%.

How many goals will there be in Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.