Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗69% · @1.30
Double chanceHeilongjiang Lava Spring or draw ✗88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring preview and prediction
The match
Heilongjiang Lava Spring travel to face Shanghai Zetian in the FA Cup on Sunday 17 May (08:00 WAT).
Form guide
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Changchun Yatai 2–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 1.4 for Shanghai Zetian and 3.2 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.20 – 55% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shanghai Zetian 1–3 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shanghai Zetian12%fair 8.51 · @8.00
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.80
Heilongjiang Lava Spring69%fair 1.46 · @1.30
4.61Expected goals
1.45Shanghai Zetian xG
3.16Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
62%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
2–35%
0–35%
2–25%
From our goals model: Shanghai Zetian 1.4 – 3.2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
69%
1.46
1.30
Double chance
Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
2.20 ▲
Half-time result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
13.18
–
Form
Shanghai Zetian
No recent results on record.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
LDWDDD
9 May
vs Changchun Yatai
2–3
L
2 May
vs Shaanxi Union
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Nanjing City
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Dalian Huayi
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Nantong Zhiyun
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shanghai Zetian and Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
On our numbers Shanghai Zetian have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 69%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Zetian 1–3 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Shanghai Zetian vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wuhan Lianzhen0
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Guizhou Xufengtang0
Hebei Kungfu0
Hubei Chufeng Heli0
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Jiangxi Liansheng2
Dalian Huayi0