Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.33Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 66% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDalian Huayi to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceDalian Huayi or draw ✗81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.86
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Jiangxi Liansheng take on Dalian Huayi on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Ruichang Sports Park Stadium.
Form guide
Jiangxi Liansheng's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Yichun Grand Tiger 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dalian Huayi's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Guangzhou E-Power 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jiangxi Liansheng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 1.8 for Jiangxi Liansheng and 3.0 for Dalian Huayi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 66% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jiangxi Liansheng 1–2 Dalian Huayi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jiangxi Liansheng19%fair 5.15 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.35
Dalian Huayi59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
4.77Expected goals
1.80Jiangxi Liansheng xG
2.97Dalian Huayi xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: Jiangxi Liansheng 1.8 – 3.0 Dalian Huayi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dalian Huayi to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Dalian Huayi or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.33 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.28
Half-time result
Dalian Huayi ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dalian Huayi / FT Dalian Huayi✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.86
–
Form
Jiangxi Liansheng – last 6
WWDLWW
9 May
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
3–1
W
5 May
@ Shenzhen 2028
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Fujian Quanzhou Qinggong
7–0
W
14 Apr
vs Guizhou Zhucheng
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dalian Huayi – last 6
DDLWLD
10 May
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–1
D
2 May
vs Dongguan United
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Nantong Zhiyun
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Wuxi Wugou
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Yanbian Longding
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jiangxi Liansheng and Dalian Huayi.
What is the prediction for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi?
On our numbers Jiangxi Liansheng have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dalian Huayi 59%.
How many goals will there be in Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi?
Our predicted score is Jiangxi Liansheng 1–2 Dalian Huayi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi?
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Huayi (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruichang Sports Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shanghai Zetian4
Heilongjiang Lava Spring2
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangzhou E-Power1
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Hebei Kungfu0
Hubei Chufeng Heli0
Guangxi Hengchen4