Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuangxi Hengchen to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceGuangxi Hengchen or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.39
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen preview and prediction
The match
Guangxi Hengchen travel to Xinhua Road Sports Center in the FA Cup on Sunday 17 May (12:30 WAT) to face Hubei Chufeng Heli.
Form guide
Hubei Chufeng Heli's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Guangdong Mingtu 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Guangxi Hengchen's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Yanbian Longding 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.4 for Hubei Chufeng Heli and 1.4 for Guangxi Hengchen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hubei Chufeng Heli 0–1 Guangxi Hengchen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hubei Chufeng Heli14%fair 6.94 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.65
Guangxi Hengchen64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
1.80Expected goals
0.42Hubei Chufeng Heli xG
1.38Guangxi Hengchen xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–123%
0–016%
0–216%
1–110%
0–37%
1–07%
From our goals model: Hubei Chufeng Heli 0.4 – 1.4 Guangxi Hengchen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Guangxi Hengchen or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guangxi Hengchen / FT Guangxi Hengchen✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.39
–
Form
Hubei Chufeng Heli – last 6
WDDWWD
10 May
@ Guangdong Mingtu
2–1
W
4 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Shangyu Pterosaur
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Xiamen Feilu
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guangxi Hengchen – last 5
DWWWL
10 May
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
2 May
@ Hebei Kungfu
3–0
W
4 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Ningbo Professional
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hubei Chufeng Heli and Guangxi Hengchen.
What is the prediction for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen?
On our numbers Hubei Chufeng Heli have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guangxi Hengchen 64%.
How many goals will there be in Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our predicted score is Hubei Chufeng Heli 0–1 Guangxi Hengchen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangxi Hengchen (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Xinhua Road Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shanghai Zetian4
Heilongjiang Lava Spring2
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangzhou E-Power1
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Hebei Kungfu0
Jiangxi Liansheng2
Dalian Huayi0