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Premier League · Ethiopia
1–1
FT

Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMebrat Hayl to win ✗44% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29

Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema preview and prediction

The match

The Premier League sees Mebrat Hayl take on Dire Dawa Kenema on Wednesday 20 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Mebrat Hayl's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Suhul Shire 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Dire Dawa Kenema's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Negelle Arsi 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Mebrat Hayl and 0.7 for Dire Dawa Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 79% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Dire Dawa Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mebrat Hayl44%fair 2.28 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.50
Dire Dawa Kenema30%fair 3.37 · @3.20
1.57Expected goals
0.91Mebrat Hayl xG
0.66Dire Dawa Kenema xG
45%Both score
21%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–021%
1–019%
0–114%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%

From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.9 – 0.7 Dire Dawa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMebrat Hayl to win ✗44%2.282.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.831.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗53%1.87–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.29–

Form

Mebrat Hayl – last 6

LLDWLD
5 May@ Suhul Shire0–1L
29 Aprvs Mekelakeya0–1L
20 Aprvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
14 Apr@ Adama Kenema1–0W
8 Apr@ Kedus Giorgis1–2L
3 Aprvs Bahardar0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dire Dawa Kenema – last 6

LDDLLW
11 May@ Negelle Arsi0–3L
5 Mayvs Ethiopia Bunna0–0D
29 Apr@ Adama Kenema1–1D
19 Apr@ Sidama Bunna0–2L
15 Aprvs Mekelakeya1–2L
8 Apr@ Suhul Shire1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Dire Dawa Kenema.

Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dire Dawa Kenema 30%.

How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Dire Dawa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.