Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Bunna host Fasil Ketema in the Premier League on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Ethiopia Bunna are 14th with 4 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Fasil Ketema sit 15th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ethiopia Bunna's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Suhul Shire 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fasil Ketema's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Bahardar 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fasil Ketema arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Ethiopia Bunna and 0.8 for Fasil Ketema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Fasil Ketema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethiopia Bunna41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.50
Fasil Ketema33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
1.81Expected goals
0.98Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.83Fasil Ketema xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.0 – 0.8 Fasil Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win✓
41%
2.43
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Ethiopia Bunna – last 6
LDLWDD
14 May
@ Suhul Shire
0–1
L
5 May
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–4
L
26 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fasil Ketema – last 6
LDWWDD
6 May
vs Bahardar
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Bunna and Fasil Ketema.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fasil Ketema 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Fasil Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema1
Dire Dawa Kenema1