Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.72
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema preview and prediction
The match
Sheger Ketema host Mekelle Kenema in the Premier League on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sheger Ketema's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Sidama Bunna 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mekelle Kenema's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Ethiopian Medhin 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sheger Ketema arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Sheger Ketema and 0.7 for Mekelle Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 1–1 Mekelle Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheger Ketema44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
Mekelle Kenema31%fair 3.22 · @3.40
1.72Expected goals
0.98Sheger Ketema xG
0.74Mekelle Kenema xG
38%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 1.0 – 0.7 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✗
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.72
–
Form
Sheger Ketema – last 6
WDDWDD
10 May
vs Sidama Bunna
1–0
W
4 May
@ Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mekelle Kenema – last 6
DLLDWL
15 May
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
9 May
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–1
L
5 May
vs Arba Minch Kenema
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Mekelle Kenema.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mekelle Kenema 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 1–1 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema1